The proposal
"A high level report to the Prime Minister has called for a
new strategy to attract foreign investment, including a single agency to
promote Australia Inc overseas and a review of international taxation
policies. Citing concerns for Australia's taxation policies, environmental and
competition laws, the report also calls for industry specific promotion of
sectors with strong potential .... the report has strongly criticized the
system of investment attraction and promotion. These efforts have been
hampered by the lack of a national strategy to pursue overseas direct
investment, the involvement of a multiplicity of Commonwealth, State and
Territory agencies, whose offices until now have been largely uncoordinated,
some duplication of effort and the failure to establish an Australian
investment brand in offshore markets" (Lewis S., 'Australia Inc: the new
blueprint", Financial Review, 14/8/01 - referring to the Blackburn report, Winning
Investment: Strategy, People and Partnerships)
The Blackburn report contains many platitudes - but
its criticism of the multiplicity of investment promotion mechanisms is valid
(Walker T., 'Arrogance about our appeal unfounded', Financial Review, 14/8/01)
Sounds good: What's wrong with that?
[Caution: the following
CPDS comments are based on press reports about the above proposal which
may not accurately convey its intent]
There is undoubtedly considerable value in assessing
Australia's tax and regulatory environment from the point of view of strongly
encouraging foreign investment - and in inhibiting the ineffectual efforts which
assorted government agencies make to promote investment.
However Queensland's experience shows that a centralized agency to
coordinate government responses to major investments could be VERY damaging. Reasons for this are set out below:
- FIRST: the interests of foreign investors can
dominate over the interests of the community - because (a) political
'brownie-points' can be gained from announcing a few 'big projects' even if these
have limited and quite narrow public benefits, (b) the political system can
thus be captured by potential investors even to the point of providing
subsidies to gain photo opportunities, and (c) agencies of central
government can then in turn become dominated by individuals with only
junior / project management skills who lack any orientation or ability
to deal with the broad public interest and who fail to understand (or resist) any attempt to
raise those issues. For example, in Queensland:
- A major factor in the growth of corruption and
breakdown of effective administration in the 1980s which
gave rise to the Fitzgerald Inquiry, was the concentration by central
government on promoting the interests of foreign investors and the fact
that no one was then 'minding the store' [Comment based on observation by the author].
The Coordinator General's role in promoting the strategic development of
Queensland's system of public administration, which had been quite
effective in creating a cohesive and purposeful system of administration in the 1970s,
was diverted to primarily facilitating major investments after 1978.
- Pre-election reform policies by the Goss
Government in 1989 favoured taking a broader approach to development of the
economy - but that Government immediately reverted to (mainly just) ensuring
support for foreign investors. The result was that Queensland did
not cope well with requirements for economic change during the 1990s - giving rise to social stresses and political instability (see Defects
in Economic Tactics, Strategy and Outcomes).
- SECOND: the distortion of ordinary
administration in central government in the pursuit of the interests of
favoured investors can lead to (a) breakdown of cooperation and information exchange
amongst agencies (because the concerns of specialist agencies tend to be
over-ridden) and (b) the growth of obstacles to all other dealings
with government - including obstacles to meeting the requirements of
thousands of other potential (but individually smaller) investors;
- THIRD: focusing on external investment is one of
the seven secrets of failure in seeking to promote the development of an
economically productive industry cluster. The alternative is to stimulate the
knowledge and organization of those already in a local industry (see Developing
a Regional Industry Cluster: A Possible Generic Process). Thus
rather than providing information about a region to external investors
(which enables them to build competitive advantages and capture value-added)
it is far more likely to be constructive to encourage regional firms to
acquire (technological and market) intelligence about the outside world;
- FOURTH: the best prospects for capturing
value-added locally through dealings with foreign investment is likely if those
projects (and the solicitation of foreign investment itself) are coordinated within
Australia's business community - rather than by government. The former (but not the latter) can take initiatives to take commercial
advantages of opportunities thus identified;
- FINALLY: Australia has traditionally had an
extraordinarily high level of dependence on foreign investment by OECD
standards and thus:
- in Queensland (where the level of dependence on
foreign investment has been very high even by Australian standards), Parliament
has been a weak institution - largely because of the lack of independent
sources able to provide the raw material for public policy options;
- a highly productive economy has never developed
- because the information which could give rise to competitive
advantages (and thus allow value-added to be captured) was most often
not held by Australians. This is likely to be a major factor in the poor
traditional structure of Australia's economy (ie its focus on low value
added commodity exports) and the steady decline in Australia's relative
per capita incomes over the past century;
- Australia has a very substantial structural
current account deficit - which partly reflects transfer pricing
decisions made by foreign investors to earn their income in lower
taxed regimes;
- it is significant that there is now seen
to be a need for centralized machinery to promote and facilitate foreign
investment. The probability that Australia is losing its attractiveness
for resource investments (see Note
9) may explain why this is now seen to be needed (by those who
assume that promoting such investment is the most effective way to
strengthen the economy).
The proposal as put forward may risk a firm step along Australia's
path to really becoming 'the banana republic' (see Note
24).
Developing an Alternative
Australia might consider adopting the traditional (West) German practice of giving
precedence to owner / managers of firms in seeking advice concerning public
support for Australian business and industry - rather than obtaining such advice from the local branch-managers of multinational firms.